Eventually the piper must be paid. For municipal governments, balancing the budget is a constant concern and one that is becoming more difficult reduced revenues have force many to cut funding for some core services. In Washington however, balanced budgets are not a concern, nor it seems is the staggering deficit that comes with massive spending programs that are unsupported by revenues.
Experts anticipate the national deficit will reach 10% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2010. Deficits are financed by the sale of Treasury Bonds issued to those willing to buy US debt. Financing this new spending requires the Treasury Department to sell trillions of dollars in new Treasury Bonds to provide cash to operate the government. As the recession has kept interest rates relatively low, it has been possible to borrow funds at reasonable rates, but now these conditions are changing – and not changing for the better.
Recent demand for US Treasuries has been relatively strong recently as well, owing to investor concern regarding the European Union’s handling of the Greek financial crisis. However as the EU gains control of the situation, coupled with increased demand for corporate bonds, those that purchase US Treasuries now have other attractive options. And many of them are no longer investing as much in US debt instruments the way they were.
To combat declining demand and attract investors, the US Treasury must increase the rates it pays on its debt. Costs of increasing interest rates will of course be borne by US taxpayers. Increasing rate trends are poised to continue as spiraling federal spending will only drive the deficit to unprecedented levels, compelling the US Treasury to compete even more aggressively to attract investors willing to purchase US debt.
How does this impact the rates consumers pay for water and water utility service? As noted, increasing deficits require the federal government to pay more in interest to finance ongoing government operations. More importantly, as US Treasury instrument rate comprises the “floor” or “risk free rate” this sets the ‘baseline rate for nearly all other major lending rates. Prime rates, mortgage, corporate bond yields and many other investments rely on this baseline to set their rates. As the “risk free rate” increases, rates on other investment instruments increase as well.
Water Utility Consultants are continually requested to develop plans that keep consumer rates as low as possible. Unfortunately, when the need arises to replace key infrastructure, the part of the cost that is financed will be more expensive. In the end, when local water providers must finance a project, the cost to end consumers will increase because of rising debt costs.
Municipal Bonds are a common financing vehicle for water and wastewater service providers and are the primary method by which providers can finance replacement projects and system upgrades. As the US Treasury rates have been relatively low, Municipal Bonds have been fairly reasonably priced as well. Now there is a significant upward pressure on these rates – as driven by the federal deficit – that should lead utility managers to expect higher costs for debt service and higher costs for Municipal Bond financing. In the end, a great deal of the cost for higher interest rates will be borne by consumers through higher water rates and fees.
Jason Mumm is a highly respected and important advisor in the area of Water Utility Consulting. Providing sound financial guidance to water utility companies, Jason helps improve performance and helps utilities manage water rates. Grab a totally unique version of this article from the Uber Article Directory